Thursday, 3 March 2016

2016 MLB Team Preview: Los Angeles Dodgers

Los Angeles Dodgers
2015 Win/Loss Record: 92-70, 1st in National League West
Last Postseason Appearance: 2015
Last World Series Championship: 1988
Key Arrivals: Micah Johnson (INF), Scott Kazmir (P), Kenta Maeda
Key Departures: Zach Greinke (P), Jimmy Rollins (SS)
Manager: Dave Roberts, 1st Year

Overall Review: The Los Angeles Dodgers have won three consecutive NL West Division titles, but that’s where their success has ended. After losing to the Cardinals in the NLCS in 2013, the Dodgers have followed with two straight ousters from the NLDS. Last year’s defeat was particularly heartbreaking as they lost the fifth and final game of the series to the New York Mets at home, with their best pitcher on the mound.
                And speaking of that pitcher, he’s now gone. Free Agent Zach Greinke signed a free agent contract with division rival, Arizona, leaving Clayton Kershaw as the lone All-Star pitcher on the starting staff. And while the line-up is still rather talented, they are a year older. With the failure against the Mets last October, one wonders if the window of opportunity is closing fast—or has already been shut.
               
Offense: The leader of the offense is still first baseman Adrian Gonzalez. At 34, he’s one of those everyday players who is starting to get a little long in the tooth. However, last year he hit .275, smashed 18 home runs and added 90 RBIs. An above average fielder at first, he is a four-time Gold Glove Award winner with the last coming in 2014. Centre-fielder Joc Pederson, was an All-Star and got a little Rookie of the Year consideration in his first full year in the big leagues. While his average was a little paltry at .210, he did connect for 26 home runs and 54 RBIs. If he improves that average, he should be an All-Star in the outfield for the Dodgers for many years to come.
                And then we have Yaisel Puig, and with him you get a mixed bag. While it is true he is the most talented player on the Dodgers, he is a hothead, trouble-maker, and generally an all-round jerk. The Dodgers have to weigh weather the talent is worth keeping him around because of the attitude, and last year it wasn’t. While missing a good chunk of the season due to injury (he played only 79 games) when he was in the line-up, he looked disinterested. If he doesn’t improve on the stats (.255, 11 and 38) it may be in the Dodgers’ best interest to part ways.

Pitching: Losing Greinke will hurt a lot, but he’s gone and there’s no point crying about it. The rest of the staff will just have to pick up the slack, starting with ace Clayton Kershaw. Over the last five seasons, Kershaw has won the NL Cy Young Award three times and finished in the top three in voting the other two years. In 2015, he was 16-7 with a 2.13 ERA and struck out 301 batters (leading the NL) in 232 2/3 innings. He’ll be joined in the rotation by free agent signee Scott Kazmir (2-6, 4.17, 54 in an injury-riddled season with Houston), Japanese League star Kenta Maeda (first big league season), Alex Wood (12-12, 3.84, 139) and Brett Anderson (10-9, 3.69, 116).
                In the bullpen, Kenley Jansen will be the closer again after posting a 2-1 record with 36 saves, a 2.41 ERA and 80 strikeouts in 52 1/3 innings. He will have help from Chris Hatcher, who will be the set-up man after finishing 2015 with a 3-5 record, four saves, 3.69 ERA and 45 strikeouts in 39 innings.

Dodgers' lefthander Clayton Kershaw
Prediction: The Dodgers have had their chance and didn’t take advantage of it. As mentioned before, Greinke's departure leaves a big void and while Kershaw is a perennial Cy Young candidate, the other pitchers pencilled into the rotation don’t have what it takes to match Greinke’s numbers. The offense will be dangerous, provided Puig concentrates more on playing hard and less time being a cancer. But a slip back into second place is on the horizon and it could be an even farther drop if the Diamondbacks improve as much as expected.

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Wednesday, 2 March 2016

2016 MLB Team Preview: Colorado Rockies

Colorado Rockies


2015 Win/Loss Record: 68-94, 5th in National League West
Last Postseason Appearance: 2009
Last World Series Championship: None
Key Arrivals: Gerardo Parra (OF), Jake McGee (P)
Key Departures: Corey Dickenson (OF), John Axford (P)
Manager: Walt Weiss, 3rd Year, W/L 208-278

Overall Review: The Colorado Rockies have finished in last place in the NL West in three of the last  five seasons. In the other two, they were fourth. Unfortunately, it doesn’t look like they will be moving up any time soon. In a division that has the Giants and Dodgers challenging for the division crown, and the D-Backs and Padres doing all they can to improve their team, the Rockies didn’t do anything of significance to improve upon 2015.
                The biggest transaction of the off-season was a trade with the Tampa Bay Rays. The Rockies sent outfielder Corey Dickenson and prospect Kevin Padlo to the Rays for relief pitcher Jake McGee and prospect German Marquez. Not exactly something worth shouting from the rooftops.
               
Offense: One thing is for certain with the Colorado offense: playing in the mile-high city with the dense air will always make for impressive stats. Third baseman Nolan Arenado led the charge for the Rockies last year when he blasted 42 home runs and added 130 runs while batting .287 and hitting 43 doubles. The All-Star proved he was more than just a slugger when his fielding earned him a Gold Glove Award.
                Also helping to provide offense is right-fielder Carlos Gonzalez (.272, 40 homers, 97 RBIs), centre-fielder Charlie Blackmon (.287, 27 homers, 58 RBIs and 43 stolen bases) and catcher Nick Hundley (.301, 10 homers, 43 RBIs.) A source of concern will be shortstop where Jose Reyes was pencilled in to start. Reyes, without even taking his legal troubles into consideration, is on the downswing in his career. Once an standout player with the Mets, his skills seemed to start to diminish after injuring his ankle in 2013 while with the Toronto Blue Jays. His offense is still solid, but he’s no longer the defensive player he was six or seven years ago.

Pitching: Jorge De La Rosa will be the ace of the Colorado pitching staff. A 9-7 win loss record was accompanied by a 4.17 ERA (pretty decent when pitching half of his games in Coors Field) and he struck out 134 batters in 149 innings. He will be joined in the rotation by Chad Bettis (8-6, 4.23 ERA and 98 strikeouts) and Tyler Chatwood, who missed all of 2015 while recovering from Tommy John surgery on his right elbow.
                Closer John Axford (4-5, 25 saves, 4.20 ERA and 62 strikeouts) is gone and will be replaced by former St. Louis Cardinal and Chicago Cub, Jason Motte. While with the Cardinals in 2012, Motte enjoyed his best season when he recorded 42 saves, had a 4-5 record with a 2.75 ERA and 86 strike outs. Injuries wiped out his 2013 season and limited his work in 2014, but he rebounded with a decent season in 2015 while with the Cubs. In 57 games, Motte posted an 8-1 record, had six saves, a 3.91 ERA and struck out 34 batters. If he can return to his 2012 form, the Rockies will have a solid back-end of the bullpen.

Third baseman Nolan Arenado
Prediction: The Rockies will, unfortunately, finish in last place in the NL West again in 2016. The rest of the division is too tough and Colorado didn’t look to make any significant upgrades in the off-season. A decent showing, say 76 wins, will probably be required for Weiss to keep his job as a manager for the 2017 season, but even that many victories might not be able to help him.

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Tuesday, 1 March 2016

2016 MLB Team Preview: Arizona Diamondbacks

                Today, Top Of The Third begins its season preview. Every team will be analyzed, starting with the National League West and ending with the American League East. Each team preview will feature an “arrivals and departures” list, a quick summary on their 2015 season and a prediction on what 2016 will hold. As always, I welcome feedback to topofthethird@gmail.com. Enjoy.

Arizona Diamondbacks


2015 Win/Loss Record: 79-83, 3rd in National League West
Last Postseason Appearance: 2011
Last World Series Championship: 2001
Key Arrivals: Zach Greinke (SP), Shelby Miller (SP), Jean Segura (SS)
Key Departures: Aaron Hill (2B), Ender Inciarte (OF), Chase Anderson (SP)
Manager: Chip Hale, first year

Overall Review: The Arizona Diamondbacks finished in the middle of the NL West in 2015 and they made two significant transactions in the off-season to try and improve their position in the standings. At the end of January, they made a five-player trade with the Milwaukee Brewers in which they sent second baseman Aaron Hill, pitcher Chase Anderson and prospect infielder Isan Diaz to Milwaukee in return for shortstop Jean Segura and pitcher Tyler Wagner.
                But the biggest acquisition for Arizona would be highly sought after starting pitcher, Zach Greinke, who the D-Backs managed to sign as a free agent from the Los Angeles Dodgers. Greinke automatically gives the rotation a shot in the arm in their attempt to regain the division crown.
               
Offense: First year manager, Chip Hale, has the tools to work with as the Diamondbacks prepare to improve on their third-place finish from a year ago. Offensively, the team is led by the hitting exploits of first baseman, Paul Goldschmidt. In 2015, the All-Star slugger bashed 33 home runs, drove in 110, batted .321 and stole 21 bases, good enough to finish second to Washington’s Bryce Harper in the National League MVP vote. He also won a Glove Glove Award to prove that he is not just a one-dimensional player. If not for some injuries suffered in 2014, Goldschmdit would more than likely have three consecutive 30 home run, 100 RBI seasons.
                Centre-fielder A.J. Pollack and left-fielder David Peralta are the other big guns in the D-Back lineup. In 2015, Pollack batted .315, hit 20 home runs and added 76 RBIs, while Peralta hit .312, 20 homers and 78 RBIs. Pollack also stole 39 bases. Arizona will miss the bat of right-fielder Ender Inciarte, who was traded to the Atlanta Braves, but they’re hoping Yasmany Tomas (.273, 9 homers, 48 RBI in 118 games) will be more than able to replace him in the outfield.

Pitching: It begins and ends with Greinke. He will be required to be the ace of the starting staff and he should have no problem filling that role. In 2015, he had 19-3 win/loss record, 1.66 ERA, struck out 200 batters in 222 2/3 innings and finished second to Jake Arrieta of the Cubs in the Cy Young Award voting. He also proved adept at fielding by winning the Gold Glove Award for pitchers.
                He will be joined in the rotation by Shelby Miller (acquired from Atlanta) who had a less-than impressive 6-17 record with the Braves in 2015, but had a respectable 3.02 ERA in 205 1/3 innings. Miller suffered from lack of run support in Atlanta, something that shouldn’t happen in Arizona. Patrick Corbin (6-5, 3.60 ERA, 78 strike outs), Rubby de la Rosa (14-9, 4.67, 150) and Robbie Ray (5-12, 3.52, 119) should round out the starting staff.
                As for the bullpen, Brad Ziegler returns to the closer’s role for the second year in a row after posting 30 saves, a 1.85 ERA and 36 strike outs in 68 innings. He’ll be joined in the pen by Daniel Hudson Randall and Delgado who won 12 games and saved five between them last season.

D-backs left-fielder David Peralta
Prediction: The addition of Greinke, although an expensive one, should pay dividends in 2016. At 32 years old, he should have plenty of years left to earn the money the Diamondbacks gave him. The offense should continue to be a strength for the club. However, the team will be hard pressed to catch the Dodgers or the Giants at the top of the division and will, in all likelihood, finish in third spot in the division once again.

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