Monday 14 March 2016

2016 MLB Team Preview: Miami Marlins

Miami Marlins
2015 Win/Loss Record: 71-91, 3rd in National League East
Last Postseason Appearance: 2003
Last World Series Championship: 2003
Key Arrivals: None
Key Departures: Henderson Alvarez (P)
Manager: Don Mattingly, 1st Year, W/L  (446-363 in 5 years with Dodgers)

Overall Review: One things is guaranteed: if the Marlins ever make the postseason again, you know for sure they are going to win it all. In the 23-year history of the franchise, the team has made the playoffs only twice (1997, 2003) but both times they won the World Series. However, this probably won’t be the year for the third. The team still has a way to go before they catch the Mets and Nationals, but they are making progress.
                There were no big free agent signings or trades, not many players came but not many left, either. So you want you saw in 2015 is pretty much what you’ll get this year as well. But that’s not necessarily a bad thing as there is a lot of potential on the roster.
               
Offense: Let’s start with right-fielder Giancarlo Stanton. A broken wrist limited him to 74 games last year, but during those games, he still smashed a remarkable 27 home runs and drove in 67 RBIs. If he can stay healthy for an entire year, 50 homers is not out of reach. A .265 average is adequate with those power numbers. Next we have second baseman Dee Gordon, the speedster at the top of the lineup. A .333 average with 58 stolen bases is most impressive. However, Gordon must improve his base-stealing instincts as he was caught stealing 20 times last season. And he needs to draw more than the 25 walks he had in 2015 as well.
                First baseman Justin Bour also provides some power to complement Stanton. Last season, Bour batted .262 while hitting 23 home runs and adding 73 RBIs. And then there’s left-fielder Christian Yelch, a .300 hitter who stole 16 bases while hitting seven home runs and adding 47 RBIs. Adeiny Hechavarria is an outstanding defensive shortstop who can also hit for a decent average (.281). Seven of the starting eight for Miami are less than 28 years old, the only exception is third baseman Martin Prado. If the Marlins can keep these guys around for a while, that third World Championship might only be a few years away.

Pitching: There’s a lot of promise with Miami’s pitching staff as well. Look for 23-year old Jose Fernandez to have a break-out year and be the staff ace by the All-Star break. In 11 starts in 2015, Fernandez posted a 6-1 record with a 2.92 ERA. He also struck out 79 batters in 64 2/3 innings. Look for improvement for Jarred Cosart as well. Last year he only went 2-5 with a 4.52 ERA but he figures to get more starts this season and could benefit from more run support from the Marlins' potent bats. Also slated for the rotation are Tom Koehler (11-14, 4.08, 137), Adam Conley (4-1, 3.76, 59) and David Phelps (4-8, 4.50, 77).
                In relief, Miami has A.J. Ramos as their closer, his second year in the role. Last season, he saved 32 games, posted a 2-4 record, a 2.30 ERA and struck out 87 batters in 70 1/3 innings. He’ll have help from Carter Capps who pitched 30 games in relief, won his only decision, struck out 58 batters in only 31 innings and had a most impressive 1.16 ERA. He will be Ramos’s set-up man.
 
Miami's second baseman, Dee Gordon
Prediction: After dumping some very expensive contracts during the off-season of 2012-13, the prospects and young players on the Marlins’ roster are gaining the experience necessary to transform into a contending team. While I’m pretty sure they’ll finish third in the division, I wouldn’t be at all surprised if they can put everything together and challenge for a wild card spot. Time will tell.

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