Friday, 29 July 2016

Why Trading Bautista now, doesn't make sense


                When the Toronto Blue Jays picked up outfielder Melvin Upton Jr from the San Diego Padres on Monday, I thought it was a fairly decent pick-up. Upton has some solid numbers, decent speed and is a great glove man. But then I started wondering why the trade was made. In an outfield already featuring All-Star Michael Saunders, Kevin Pillar and Jose Bautista, with Ezequiel Carrera as the fourth option, why was it necessary to add another? I started thinking about the possibility of the Jays looking to move Bautista. Sure enough, 48 hours later, rumours started surfacing that the Washington Nationals had been inquiring about the possibility of acquiring Bautista to solidify their line-up.
                Now, chances are that it’s nothing more than a rumour. Bautista can veto any trade he chooses, Washington would have to part with too much to get him and with the Toronto slugger being a free agent following the season, Washington would probably be only getting a rent-a-player.
                Still, where there’s smoke, there’s fire. No one thought the Detroit Tigers would trade David Price last year either, but they sent him on his way when—if you’ll pardon the expression—the price was right.
                But the question that should be being asked is: does it make sense to unload Bautista at this point of the season? And I would have to answer with a resounding “No!” Now those who read my post on Bautista this past February, when he proclaimed that he would not take any hometown discounts to stay with the Blue Jays and that his price tag was non-negotiable will remember that I suggested Toronto trade him after those statements, and to do it soon while they could get something of value in return.
                Here’s why I’ve changed my mind. First of all, it’s too late in the season now. If they were going to part ways with him, it should have been before the season started. To do so now may disrupt the chemistry on the ball club. It might cause some of the other players to question why management would give up on the season when they’re in the thick of the division race.
Even though Bautista has missed about a month with a toe injury, he is still a valuable contributor to the team and the other players see that. It’s hard to part with as vital a cog as Bautista, unless Washington is willing to give up someone like (ha ha) Max Scherzer, or Gio Gonzalez, or another starting pitcher who can help solidify the rotation much like Price did last year.
                And since I’m sure Washington would only offer some prospects, players who wouldn’t contribute to the Jays’ playoff chase this season, it doesn’t make sense to part with the best slugger Toronto has had over the past half-dozen seasons.
                That brings me to my second point. Despite Bautista’s underachieving season thus far (and how much is due to his injuries is unknown) he is still a dangerous hitter that can provide a home run, or a clutch extra base hit when needed. And you can’t forget his contributions down the stretch and in the postseason last year. Don’t forget his blast that won the ALDS against Texas. Also remember that he was the Jays’ only hitter who didn’t crap the bed in the sixth game of the ALCS against Kansas City.
                Finally, I don’t think it would be smart to trade a player like Bautista to a team that Toronto could possibly face if they make it to the World Series in October. That would be a recipe for disaster and would cause all sorts of second-guessing and vilification from the media and fans if the Series didn’t work out in the Jays’ favour.
                No, it’s best that Toronto hold on to Bautista for the stretch run. You have to roll the dice with him and go all-in for 2016. While the possibility exists that he might not be back in 2017, along with a host of others, that’s a chance you have to take in order to put the best lineup possible on the field—the lineup that has the best chance of returning the label of “World Champions” back to the city of Toronto.

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