Thursday, 17 September 2015

The Race For the NL Central; Division Leaders' Magic Numbers

                While I’ve spent a lot of time over the past few months writing about the amazing second half of the Toronto Blue Jays (and why not as they are on the cusp of their first postseason berth in 22 years) there may be an even more interesting story to be found in the Central Division of the National League.
                Since the All-Star break two months ago, you could tell that there was a good possibility the division would send three teams to the playoffs. But now there’s an even more impressive fact looking us in the eye: the top three teams in the NL Central could very well finish the regular season with the top three records in all of baseball.


                It’s true. Let’s look at the St. Louis Cardinals first. They’re the only team in baseball right now with 90 wins (overall record is 91-54) and they’ve been in first place in the division since April 17th. They’ve led by as many as nine games and never been ahead by less than 2 ½ since April 29th. They’re currently leading by four. The Cards have been a perennial contender for pretty much the entire 21st century and have been to at least the National League Championship Series for the past four years. They won the World Series in 2011, lost to Boston in the World Series in 2013 and dropped the NLCS to San Francisco in both 2012 and 2014. They always seem to be competitive and they have to be one of the favourites to end the season as champions.


                In second place at the moment are the Pittsburgh Pirates. At 87-58, they would be in first place in any of the other five divisions. As it is, they are four games behind the Cardinals. They’ve done the yo-yo thing this season. They were nine games back on June 28th, went on a run that brought them within 2 ½ by the All-Star break. Then they dropped to seven back by the middle of August and now they’re closing in on first again. The Pirates have been the top Wild Card team in the past two season (winning the game in 2013 and losing in 2014). They seem destined to play in the game once again this season, but what they’d like is a division title with which comes an automatic trip to the Division Series.


                And then we have the Chicago Cubs. Without a World Series title in 1908, and only seven post season trips in the 106 years since, all but one of those coming in 1984 or later. They’re currently sit at 84-61, which would be enough to be leading four of the other divisions (only Kansas City has a better record) but in the NL Central, it’s only good enough for seven games behind the Cards for the lead and three games behind the Pirates for the first Wild Card spot. The Cubs loaded up on free agents prior to the 2015 season and it has, thus far, paid off for them. While they currently hold the second Wild Card spot, they have a comfortable hold on it, 7 ½ games ahead of the defending World Series Champion Giants, and the magic number to clinch it is ten.
                The unfortunate thing is that there is no possibility that two teams from the Central will be playing each other for the NLCS. If things stay the way they are, the Pirates and Cubs will play in the sudden-death Wild Card game for the right to get the number four seed for the National League Playoffs, and will be rewarded by playing the number one seed, the Cardinals in the NLDS with the East and West Division winners (most likely the Mets and the Dodgers) playing in the other NLDS series.
                However, it would still be fun to see the top three records in all of baseball come out of the same division. We shall see.

Current Magic Numbers (Division Leaders)

American League East: The Toronto Blue Jays lead the Yankees by three games. Their magic number to clinch the division is 15.

AL Central: Kansas City leads the Minnesota Twins by ten games. Their magic number is eight.

AL West: The Texas Rangers lead the Houston Astros by a game and a half. Magic number is 16.

National League East: The Mets lead the Washington Nationals by 7 ½ with the magic number at ten.

NL Central: The Cards lead the Pirates by four. Magic number is 14.


NL West: Dodgers lead the Giants by 7 ½ with the magic number at 10.

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